Tariq Khan's Predictions
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Best Picture
  • Belfast
    1

    Belfast

  • The Power of the Dog
    2

    The Power of the Dog

  • Licorice Pizza
    3

    Licorice Pizza

  • The Tragedy of Macbeth
    4

    The Tragedy of Macbeth

  • West Side Story
    5

    West Side Story

  • King Richard
    6

    King Richard

  • CODA
    7

    CODA

  • The Lost Daughter
    8

    The Lost Daughter

  • Dune
    9

    Dune

  • Don't Look Up
    10

    Don't Look Up

My Reasons: I've finally dropped "Nightmare Alley," which seems to be losing steam by the day. I still think that "The Lost Daughter" gets in. I put "Don't Look Up" back in, which seems to be jockeying with "tick, tick...Boom!" for the last few slots. By the way, I have a strong feeling that "The Tragedy of Macbeth" will overperform with the Academy.
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Mauricio
  - Jan 14, 2022 3:01 pm
I don’t feel strongly about Macbeth or Lost Daughter. I think Nightmare Alley, Don’t Look Up are
colinpowis
  - Jan 10, 2022 9:25 am
Kodi McPhee is a WEAK BSA frontrunner ; I'd wager that Troy from CODA or even Mike Faist wins
colinpowis
  - Jan 10, 2022 9:23 am
Not only is WSS winning BP it ''may ''even win BD Mike Faist and Ariana DeBose both deserve oscars
colinpowis
  - Jan 10, 2022 9:21 am
Belfast is fading after losing all three acting noms at the GG ..it's not winning BP , Dude .
Updated 7 hours ago
Best Director
  • Jane Campion
    1

    Jane Campion

  • Kenneth Branagh
    2

    Kenneth Branagh

  • Paul Thomas Anderson
    3

    Paul Thomas Anderson

  • Ryusuke Hamaguchi
    4

    Ryusuke Hamaguchi

  • Joel Coen
    5

    Joel Coen

My Reasons: I'm highly skeptical of Villeneuve and Spielberg making the cut. The Directors Branch is increasingly international, and they tend to go for highly artistic films. How many will consider remakes of "Dune" and "West Side Story" to be the top directorial achievements of the year? Hamaguchi is looking increasingly likely to be this year’s Thomas Vinterberg. I suspect that previous winner Coen will join Campion, Branagh and Anderson to round out the field.
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theatrebear
  - Jan 2, 2022 9:13 pm
Don't disagree but Spielberg should and will be there. It's a masterclass of film making.
Updated Jan 14, 2022 9:36 am
Best Actress
  • olivia-colman
    1

    Olivia Colman

  • Jessica Chastain
    2

    Jessica Chastain

  • Kristen Stewart
    3

    Kristen Stewart

  • Penelope Cruz
    4

    Penelope Cruz

  • Frances McDormand
    5

    Frances McDormand

My Reasons: Colman and Chastain now appear to be the only locks for nominations. I still think that Stewart gets in, despite the SAG snub. I know that Kidman and Gaga look strong after SAG, but I question how many #1 votes they'll get from actors - especially as their films aren't expected to be big Oscar players. I'm sensing that one or both of them could miss. I really think that Cruz might get enough passion votes to get in. And if McDormand could win last year, she can get nominated again this year.
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Radiomon
  - Jan 15, 2022 6:53 pm
lol
NikoRuscio
  - Jan 15, 2022 6:40 am
So delusional...Is The Eyes of Tammy Faye a big Oscar player to sustain Chastain placement then?
GWalters
  - Jan 15, 2022 12:26 am
Sorry but your predictions and logic seem slightly delusional..
jamon__serrano
  - Jan 14, 2022 5:25 pm
Insane predictions.
Govrnmentjudas
  - Jan 14, 2022 2:43 pm
mcdormand has been MIA this entire award season no way in hell will she get nominated
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Updated Jan 14, 2022 9:41 am
Best Actor
  • Benedict Cumberbatch
    1

    Benedict Cumberbatch

  • Will Smith
    2

    Will Smith

  • Andrew Garfield
    3

    Andrew Garfield

  • Denzel Washington
    4

    Denzel Washington

  • Peter Dinklage
    5

    Peter Dinklage

My Reasons: I'm going with the five favorites here. I don't see DiCaprio getting enough #1 votes to break in. I think Nicolas Cage has an outside shot, but he really needed that SAG nod. This could be the one acting category without any surprises.
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anthonycovino
  - Jan 12, 2022 4:35 pm
Dinkalge is in 5th place I think
Cair
  - Jan 2, 2022 8:54 am
I think Peter Dinklage is on the bubble the others I think are a lock
Updated Jan 14, 2022 9:44 am
Best Supporting Actress
  • Ariana DeBose
    1

    Ariana DeBose

  • Caitriona Balfe
    2

    Caitriona Balfe

  • Kirsten Dunst
    3

    Kirsten Dunst

  • Jessie Buckley
    4

    Jessie Buckley

  • Ruth Negga
    5

    Ruth Negga

My Reasons: By my calculations - Debose, Balfe and Dunst are all safe for noms. I dropped Ellis after she missed SAG while her film made the ensemble lineup. She's good in the film - but may not generate enough #1 votes to get in. I'm guessing that Buckley could be the big shocker, riding in on Olivia Colman's coattails and support for "The Lost Daughter." And I now think that Negga is getting in over Ann Dowd.
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Setia_Yasmine_Khalil
  - Jan 15, 2022 3:06 pm
ellis will make it come on especially if will will get an oscar
anthonycovino
  - Jan 12, 2022 4:35 pm
Ellis just missed SAG lol
POR160893
  - Jan 12, 2022 12:17 pm
Negga ain't getting in. Ellis is part of a BP film and has made it into all the precursors.
Updated Jan 14, 2022 9:48 am
Best Supporting Actor
  • troy kotsur
    1

    Troy Kotsur

  • Kodi Smit-McPhee
    2

    Kodi Smit-McPhee

  • Jamie Dornan
    3

    Jamie Dornan

  • Ciaran Hinds
    4

    Ciaran Hinds

  • Bradley Cooper
    5

    Bradley Cooper

My Reasons: This category has turned into a free-for-all. I'm prepared to get three wrong. Kotsur and Smit-McPhee are the only sure things. I still think that Dornan and Hinds will likely get in, due to the support for Belfast. Cooper is looking good after SAG, and most voters do love "Licorice Pizza." Jared Leto has a chance, but lukewarm reception to "Gucci" could leave him out in the cold.
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nxhincapie
  - Jan 13, 2022 3:04 pm
Really hoping Bardley Cooper gets in!!!
JFK
  - Jan 10, 2022 10:08 am
Smit-McPhee is going to steamroll the season, and I'm here for it!
colinpowis
  - Jan 7, 2022 2:07 pm
Do you think that Troy could win a Golden Globe
Updated Jan 14, 2022 9:54 am
Best Adapted Screenplay
  • The Power of the Dog
    1

    The Power of the Dog

  • The Lost Daughter
    2

    The Lost Daughter

  • CODA
    3

    CODA

  • The Tragedy of Macbeth
    4

    The Tragedy of Macbeth

  • drive my car
    5

    Drive My Car

My Reasons: "Drive My Car" is far more likely to get in than "West Side Story" and "Dune."
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POR160893
  - Jan 12, 2022 12:19 pm
West Side Story will get in instead of CODA. CODA reminds me of the The Farewell.
Updated Jan 14, 2022 9:56 am
Best Original Screenplay
  • Licorice Pizza
    1

    Licorice Pizza

  • Belfast
    2

    Belfast

  • Don't Look Up
    3

    Don't Look Up

  • King Richard
    4

    King Richard

  • Parallel Mothers
    5

    Parallel Mothers

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Updated Jan 14, 2022 9:56 am
Best Cinematography
  • The Tragedy of Macbeth
    1

    The Tragedy of Macbeth

  • Belfast
    2

    Belfast

  • The Power of the Dog
    3

    The Power of the Dog

  • Nightmare Alley
    4

    Nightmare Alley

  • Dune
    5

    Dune

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Updated Jan 14, 2022 9:57 am
Best Costume Design
  • Cyrano
    1

    Cyrano

  • Spencer
    2

    Spencer

  • Cruella 200
    3

    Cruella

  • Licorice Pizza
    4

    Licorice Pizza

  • The Tragedy of Macbeth
    5

    The Tragedy of Macbeth

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Updated Jan 14, 2022 9:57 am
Best Film Editing
  • Licorice Pizza
    1

    Licorice Pizza

  • Belfast
    2

    Belfast

  • The Power of the Dog
    3

    The Power of the Dog

  • Dune
    4

    Dune

  • Don't Look Up
    5

    Don't Look Up

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Updated Jan 14, 2022 9:58 am
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
  • the eyes of tammy faye 200
    1

    The Eyes of Tammy Faye

  • Dune
    2

    Dune

  • The Suicide Squad 200
    3

    The Suicide Squad

  • Cyrano
    4

    Cyrano

  • Coming 2 America
    5

    Coming 2 America

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Updated Jan 14, 2022 9:58 am
Best Production Design
  • Nightmare Alley
    1

    Nightmare Alley

  • Cyrano
    2

    Cyrano

  • The Tragedy of Macbeth
    3

    The Tragedy of Macbeth

  • Dune
    4

    Dune

  • The Power of the Dog
    5

    The Power of the Dog

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Updated Jan 14, 2022 9:58 am
Best Score
  • The Power of the Dog
    1

    The Power of the Dog

  • Dune
    2

    Dune

  • The French Dispatch
    3

    The French Dispatch

  • Don't Look Up
    4

    Don't Look Up

  • Spencer
    5

    Spencer

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Updated Jan 14, 2022 9:59 am
Best Song
  • No Time to Die
    1

    No Time to Die

  • King Richard
    2

    King Richard

  • Encanto
    3

    Encanto

  • Don't Look Up
    4

    Don't Look Up

  • Belfast
    5

    Belfast

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POR160893
  - Jan 12, 2022 12:20 pm
Don't overlook Diane Warren in this category for a nomination!
Updated Jan 14, 2022 9:59 am
Best Sound
  • Dune
    1

    Dune

  • West Side Story
    2

    West Side Story

  • Belfast
    3

    Belfast

  • The Power of the Dog
    4

    The Power of the Dog

  • no time to die 200
    5

    No Time to Die

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Updated Jan 14, 2022 9:59 am
Best Visual Effects
  • Dune
    1

    Dune

  • The Matrix Resurrections
    2

    The Matrix Resurrections

  • Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings 200
    3

    Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings

  • Spider-Man: No Way Home
    4

    Spider-Man: No Way Home

  • free guy 200
    5

    Free Guy

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Updated Jan 14, 2022 9:59 am
Best Animated Feature
  • Encanto
    1

    Encanto

  • luca 200
    2

    Luca

  • Flee
    3

    Flee

  • The Mitchells vs the Machines
    4

    The Mitchells vs the Machines

  • The Summit of the Gods
    5

    The Summit of the Gods

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Updated Jan 14, 2022 10:00 am
Best Documentary Feature
  • Flee
    1

    Flee

  • summer of soul
    2

    Summer of Soul

  • The Rescue
    3

    The Rescue

  • The Velvet Underground
    4

    The Velvet Underground

  • The First Wave
    5

    The First Wave

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Updated Jan 14, 2022 10:00 am
Best International Film
  • drive my car
    1

    Drive My Car

  • Worst Person in the World
    2

    The Worst Person in the World

  • The Hand of God
    3

    The Hand of God

  • Flee
    4

    Flee

  • A Hero
    5

    A Hero

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Updated Jan 14, 2022 10:01 am
Best Animated Short
  • Angakusajaujuq The Shaman’s Apprentice
    1

    Angakusajaujuq: The Shaman’s Apprentice

  • boxballet
    2

    Boxballet

  • bad seeds
    3

    Bad Seeds

  • bestia
    4

    Bestia

  • souvenir souvenir
    5

    Souvenir Souvenir

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Updated Jan 14, 2022 10:01 am
Best Documentary Short
  • audible
    1

    Audible

  • lead me home
    2

    Lead Me Home

  • lynching postcards
    3

    Lynching Postcards

  • the facility
    4

    The Facility

  • three songs for benazir
    5

    Three Songs for Benazir

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Updated Jan 14, 2022 10:02 am
Best Live Action Short
  • the dress
    1

    The Dress

  • under the heavens
    2

    Under the Heavens

  • distances
    3

    Distances

  • on my mind
    4

    On My Mind

  • the long goodbye
    5

    The Long Goodbye

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Updated Jan 14, 2022 10:02 am